As the conclusion of the 2026 Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship Series rapidly approaches, the battle for the title couldn’t get much closer. After 14 rounds, Hunter Lawrence leads Ken Roczen by a single point. Neither rider has won a 450SX title, so they will be riding in a pressure cooker for the next three rounds. And, lurking in the shadows, 22 points out of the lead is three-time Supercross Champion Cooper Webb. There have already been countless changes in momentum this year, so let’s take a look at the 2026 Philadelphia Supercross fantasy picks and tips for RMFantasySX players.

1. There has been a stunning reversal of fortunes since the season break between rounds 9 and 10. If you only count the five post-break rounds, Lawrence would be in P4 in the standings with 90 points, a stunning 27 points behind Roczen. Between them, Justin Cooper and Cooper Webb would be tied at 93 points, three points clear of Lawrence. Tomac would be mired in P7, 54 points shy of Roczen. Also, as hard as it is to believe, just four rounds ago, Tomac was leading the series. It’s truly a tale of two championship seasons.

2. Ken Roczen is on the move, and he has the weather on his side. Roczen took the Triple Crown win on a rain-moistened Cleveland track, while Hunter Lawrence limped to a P6 finish due to crashes and lack of raw speed. It looks like rain will be falling on Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, and that tips the scales in the direction of Roczen for the win.

3. Hunter Lawrence is tough to call. In the first 10 rounds, Lawrence was never outside of the top five and was on the podium eight times. In the last four rounds, Lawrence has gone 18-3-1-6. The weather report is a red flag for Lawrence, though it’s still hard to predict that he will be off the podium, given that his back is against the wall. Put down Lawrence for P3.

   

4. Cooper Webb has elbowed his way into a P2 pick. Webb can be a sneaky rider, and he has finished in P2 in two consecutive rounds. While a fourth Supercross title for Webb is unlikely, the post-break season has been a wild one. Expect Webb to keep his late-season push going and take P2 again.

5. Look for Justin Cooper and Chase Sexton to battle over P4. In the last six rounds, either Sexton or Cooper has finished in P4 five times. Jorge Prado was the only P4 gatecrasher in that stretch. Although Cooper has accounted for four of those P4 finishes, Sexton has taken P4 in the last two races. Also, Sexton won at Lincoln Financial Field last year. With that record, it’s Sexton in P4 and Cooper in P5.

   

6. The Wild Card P12, and there are two favorites. Christian Craig has been running in that range the entire year. If you toss out his best and worst finishes, Craig has been between P11 and P15 in every Main Event. That puts him consistently in the P12 discussion, where he has finished twice this year. A strong alternative is Dean Wilson. Wilson has only raced the last two rounds this year. However, Wilson has finished in P11 and P12, compared to P14 and P13 for Craig. It’s close, but I’m going with Wilson.

7. The racing is returning to the usual start time: 7 p.m. Eastern Time. There will be no more afternoon SX racing this year.

2026 Philadelphia Supercross Fantasy Picks

1. Ken Roczen
2. Cooper Webb
3. Hunter Lawrence
4. Chase Sexton
5. Justin Cooper

   Wild Card P12: Dean Wilson

Exclusive photography by Tyler Maillet / Ajak Photos

2026 Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship Series Standing (after 14 of 17 races) 

1. Hunter Lawrence, Honda, 286 points (4 Wins, 10 Podiums, 12 Top 5s)
2. Ken Roczen, Suzuki, 285 (4W, 10P, 12 T5)
3. Cooper Webb, Yamaha, 264 (1W, 7P, 10 T5)
4. Eli Tomac, KTM, 255 (4W, 8P, 10 T5)
5. Justin Cooper, Yamaha, 233 (2P, 8 T5)
6. Chase Sexton, Kawasaki, 180 (1W, 4P, 7 T5)
7. Joey Savatgy, Honda, 176 (3 T5)
8. Malcolm Stewart, Husqvarna, 160 (1P, 4 T5)
9. Justin Hill, KTM, 148 (1 T5)
10. Jorge Prado, KTM, 147 (1P, 3 T5)
11. Dylan Ferrandis, Ducati, 143
12. Christian Craig, Honda, 124
13. Shane McElrath, Honda, 119
14. Garrett Marchbanks, Kawasaki, 104
15. Colt Nichols, Suzuki, 103
16. Aaron Plessinger, KTM, 99
17. Jason Anderson, Suzuki, 84
18. Vince Friese, Kawasaki, 60
19. Jordon Smith, Triumph, 56
20. Mitchell Harrison, Kawasaki, 55
21. R.J. Hampshire, Husqvarna, 38
22. Grant Harlan, KTM, 38
23. Kevin Moranz, KTM, 27
24. Freddie Noren, Yamaha, 20
25. Dean Wilson, Honda, 21
26. Tristan Lane, Yamaha, 15
27. Cole Thompson, Yamaha, 14
28. Austin Forkner, Triumph, 12
29. Mitchell Oldenburg, Beta, 6
30. Justin Bogle, Suzuki, 5
31. Ty Masterpool, Yamaha, 4
32. Josh Cartwright, Kawasaki, 4
33. Zack Williams, Honda, 2
34. Jeremy Hand, Honda, 2
35. Cade Clason, Kawasaki, 5
36. Scott Meshey, Husqvarna, 1
37. Justin Barcia, Ducati, 1
38. Ryan Breece, Honda, 1