With more than a third of the 2026 Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship Series completed, you’d think it would get easier to pick the top five and dominate in your RMFantasySX leagues. However, inconsistency prevails. There have been four winners in six rounds, seven different riders on the podium, and nine riders have a top-five finish. So, let’s break down the 2026 Arlington Supercross fantasy picks and tips.

1. Eli Tomac has won half the races this year. He did it by winning the first two rounds, and then last week in Seattle. However, he has been off the podium two of the three times he didn’t win. If you picked him to win in those three non-winning races, you got a total of 10 RMFantasyMX points in three rounds out of Tomac, making him a feast-or-famine choice. Still, three wins in six rounds is tough to argue with, and Tomac has won three times in Arlington, so I have Tomac down as standing on the top step of the podium at the end of the night.

2. Hunter Lawrence has been in the top five at every round this year. If you picked him every week, you always earned RMFantasySX points. Last week, Lawrence broke his four-round run of P2 finishes, though not the way he wanted. Instead of getting his first career 450SX win, he finished in P4. That’s his worst finish since the Anaheim 1 opener. Although any week could be the week Lawrence wins for the first time, his four P2s in six rounds make it hard to avoid seeing the points leader rack up another P2 this week in AT&T Stadium.

3. Three riders have four podiums this year. In addition to Lawrence and Tomac, Ken Roczen has been on the box four times. Yet, Cooper Webb (5-1-3-2) has beaten Roczen (8-3-1-10) at three of the last four rounds. Also, Webb has six wins in the last seven rounds at Arlington, with Tomac breaking the run in half. That gives Webb the Arlington edge, and is a legit argument for a Webb win on Saturday. However, Tomac has been collecting the wins this year, so put Webb down for P3 and Roczen in P4. Note that if Roczen is not on the podium, he’s not in the top five. Oh, and Roczen has an Arlington win, though it was 10 years ago.

4. Chase Sexton loves to break hearts every week in RMFantasySX play. Sexton has been on the podium just once, and that was when he won at round 3 at A2. However, he has four top-fives in six rounds, and that includes two P5s and a P4. That makes Sexton a solid P5 pick, almost. Justin Cooper has beaten Sexton the last two rounds, with Cooper on a 4-3 run. Sexton looks to be struggling, and Cooper is on the ascendency. That makes Justin Cooper a stronger P5 pick.

5. RMFantasySX has been making the Wild Card difficult by putting the slot outside of the top 10, and this week is no exception. The Wild Card is P13, and six different riders have finished in that spot. In order of the accomplishment, they are Joey Savatgy, Jorge Prado, Christian Craig, Aaron Plessinger, Garrett Marchbanks, and Colt Nichols. Savatgy and Plessinger have been in the top-10 the last two weeks, so forget them. Prado won’t be lining up, and Craig has broken fingers. That leaves Marchbanks and Nichols. Marchbanks is on a 1-14-15-13-22 run, though you can discount the P22 as it was due to crash-caused bike damage. Nichols broke a four-race P16 run with his P13 last week. Marchbanks looks to be the best choice, followed by Shane McElrath (18-15-14 in the last three rounds) and Nichols.

2026 Arlington Supercross Fantasy Picks

1. Eli Tomac
2. Hunter Lawrence
3. Cooper Webb
4. Ken Roczen
5. Chase Sexton

Wild Card P13: Garrett Marchbanks

Check out our 2026 Supercross Television Schedule

Photography by Align Media and Octopi Media

2026 Monster Energy AMA Supercross Standings (after 6 of 17 rounds)

1. Hunter Lawrence, Honda, 124 points (4 Podiums, 6 Top 5s)
2. Eli Tomac, KTM, 123 points (3 Wins, 4P, 5 T5)
3. Ken Roczen, Suzuki, 113, (1W, 4P, 4 T5)
4. Cooper Webb, Yamaha, 113 (1W, 3P, 4 T5)
5. Chase Sexton, Kawasaki, 106 (1W, 1P, 4 T5)
6. Justin Cooper, Yamaha, 95 (1P, 2 T5)
7. Jason Anderson, Suzuki, 83 (2 T5)
8. Joey Savatgy, Honda, 80 (1 T5)
9. Dylan Ferrandis, Ducati, 75
10. Jorge Prado, KTM, 73 (1P, 2 T5)
11. Aaron Plessinger, KTM, 65
12. Malcolm Stewart, Husqvarna, 52
13. Justin Hill, KTM, 51
14. Christian Craig, Honda, 45
15. Colt Nichols, Suzuki, 43
16. RJ Hampshire, Husqvarna, 38
17. Shane McElrath, Honda, 32
18. Garrett Marchbanks, Kawasaki, 24
19. Vince Friese, Kawasaki, 17
20. Mitchell Harrison, Kawasaki, 16
21. Austin Forkner, Triumph,12
22. Kevin Moranz, KTM, 10
23. Grant Harlan, KTM, 9
24. Mitchell Oldenburg, Beta, 6
25. Freddie Norén, Yamaha, 4
26. Ty Masterpool, Yamaha, 4
27. Tristan Lane, Yamaha, 3
28. Josh Cartwright, Kawasaki, 2
29. Justin Barcia, Ducati, 1
30. Ryan Breece, Honda, 1