It’s the last race in the 2025 SuperMotocross World Championship, and the title is going down to the wire. Brothers Hunter and Jett Lawrence are the only riders who control their own destinies in the triple-points SMX Final—if either Lawrence wins, he takes home the World Championship money and laurels. Although 17 riders are still mathematically in the title hunt due to 75 points being added to the winner’s ledger, it will take a major shakeup for Eli Tomac or anyone behind him to take the SMX World Championship trophy home from The Strip at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Now, it’s time for the 2025 SMX Final fantasy picks and tips.
- Leader Jett Lawrence goes into the SMX Final as the fastest rider. As we saw in St. Louis, Jett can lose if he blows a start. However, we also saw that he’s the fastest man on the track. Hunter fans can dream, but Jett is the most likely rider to win repeat as the SMX World Champion.
- After a stumble at the opener at zMAX Dragway, Hunter Lawrence has reestablished himself as the #2 guy. Hunter is tantalizingly close to the title, trailing Jett by just six points. At the same time, Jett has shown that he knows how to manage races and championships, and Jett’s not likely to relinquish his Playoff lead to his brother or anyone else.
- Eli Tomac has P3 locked down. The Lawrences ahead of Tomac are on another level, and it’s chaos behind him. To take the title, Tomac must win, with Jett in P4 or worse and Hunter in P3 or worse. Barring some calamity, that’s not going to happen.
- Ken Roczen found his racing legs in St. Louis. After a lackluster P7 in Playoff 1, Roczen stormed to a 2-5 night last week. Roczen is no threat to the podium, to the disappointment of Tomac, but P4 is a finishing position his rides support.
- With the track returning to a more motocross-style on The Strip at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, RJ Hampshire looks good for P5. Cooper Webb’s 8-4 beat Hampshire’s 7-6 at Playoff 2, setting the stage for a good battle for the last top-five slot. Webb, who benefited from the indoor track at St. Louis, won’t have that advantage in Las Vegas. Hampshire will have his work cut out for him, so this one isn’t a done deal.
- Although Justin Cooper and Chase Sexton are fast, they are anything but furious. Both of these top-shelf riders seem to have lost interest. Sexton was 5-10 and Cooper was 6-11 last week in St. Louis. Money is always a good motivator, and there are certainly podium-capable riders. Unfortunately, they don’t look like they’ll be bringing that intensity to Las Vegas. Still, racing can be surprising, and if Sexton is on, he could win, and Cooper could land on the podium. In the real world of their results and intensity, don’t be surprised to just see them ride the season out in a fairly casual manner.
- The Wild Card is P12, and there are plenty of options. I’m going with Benny Bloss, who is P12 in the SMX standings and was P12 last week. It’s a sign. Riders who have finished motos within one position of P12 in the two Playoffs include Justin Cooper, Valentine Guillod, Justin Hill, Joey Savatgy, and Coty Schock. Pick one if you don’t like my Bloss choice.
- The 2025 SMX Final is a night race. The first gate drop is at 7 p.m. PDT. Race Day Live starts at 1:30 p.m. locally. There are various viewing options, so check our 2025 SuperMotocross Television Schedule.
2025 SMX Final Fantasy Picks
- Jett Lawrence
- Hunter Lawrence
- Eli Tomac
- Ken Roczen
- RJ Hampshire
Wild Card P12: Benny Bloss
2025 SuperMotocross World Championship Standings (after Playoff 2)
- Jett Lawrence, Honda, 91 points
- Hunter Lawrence, Honda, 85
- Eli Tomac, Yamaha, 75
- Chase Sexton, KTM, 68
- Cooper Webb, Yamaha, 67
- Justin Cooper, Yamaha, 64
- Ken Roczen, Suzuki, 63
- RJ Hampshire, Husqvarna, 61
- Dylan Ferrandis, Honda, 48
- Joey Savatgy, Honda, 47
- Justin Barcia, GasGas, 47
- Benny Bloss, Beta, 30
- Valentin Guillod, Yamaha, 28
- Justin Hill, KTM, 26
- Coty Schock, Yamaha, 22
- Shane McElrath, Honda, 21
- Malcolm Stewart, Husqvarna, 20
- Mitchell Harrison, Kawasaki, 14
- Aaron Plessinger, KTM, 14
- Marshal Weltin, Yamaha, 12
- Mitchell Oldenburg, Beta, 12
- Jorge Prado, Kawasaki, 9
- Dean Wilson, Honda, 8
- Jason Anderson, Kawasaki, 7
- Colt Nichols, Suzuki, 5
- Kyle Chisholm, Suzuki, 4
- Harri Kullas, Husqvarna, 3
- Jeremy Hand, Honda, 1
